Guess (coming soon)

Coming soon. Guess isn't live yet. Predict in the side menu opens it once it is.

Guess is prediction markets on Nightshade's order book: trade on the outcome of real-world events, on the markets people already follow on Polymarket.

How it will work

• YES and NO shares. Each market has YES and NO shares, and the winning side's shares pay out 1 dollar each. They're minted in pairs, so a YES and a NO together are always worth a dollar.
• The same order book. YES trades on Nightshade's book, with swaps, limit orders and the same liquidity tools. Buying NO is minting a pair and selling the YES; selling NO is the reverse, so one book serves both sides.
• Results from Polymarket. When Polymarket settles a market, a relayer carries the result to Midnight. Guess's contract accepts it only from an approved relayer, for that market, from Polymarket's own contract, and only once.
• Its own site. Guess has its own site, built on Nightshade, and opens with the same passkey wallet.

Details may change before it opens. These docs will cover it in full when it does.